Latest Independent Poll Shows Garamendi Maintains Strong Lead in Final Days of Campaign

WALNUT CREEK – A newly released Survey USA poll commissioned by KPIX CBS 5 finds that Lieutenant Governor John Garamendi continues to hold a commanding lead over his Democratic opponents in the 10th Congressional District special primary election to be held on September 1st.

 

The poll of likely voters found that 25 percent favor Garamendi, 16 percent favor Senator Mark DeSaulnier, 12 percent favor Assemblymember Joan Buchannan, and 9 percent favor Anthony Woods.

 

“DeSaulnier and Buchanan have failed to make inroads since CBS 5's last poll 16 days ago,” stated CBS 5.  In fact, with only five percent of voters currently undecided, it is nearly impossible for any of the other Democratic candidates to overtake the Lieutenant Governor.

 

Today’s poll results mirror previous Survey USA and internal Garamendi polling.

 

“With the endorsements of President Clinton, Vice President Gore, and the region’s major newspapers, people recognize that I have the needed experience to provide the 10th Congressional District with a powerful voice in Washington,” said Garamendi.

 

A chart of public polling released since Garamendi entered the race is included below. As the table clearly shows, Garamendi has led consistently by a wide margin in this campaign. 

 

Poll Results in CA-10 Among All Likely Voters

 

Candidate

Survey USA

(8/10-8/11)

Survey USA

(8/26-8/27)

John Garamendi

26%

25%

Mark DeSaulnier

15%

16%

Joan Buchanan

12%

12%

Anthony Woods

5%

9%

Undecided

11%

5%

 

The 10th Congressional District is heavily Democratic and therefore support among Democratic voters is essential for a Democratic candidate to win in the primary and move on into the general election. This recent independent poll found that John Garamendi continues to hold a double-digit lead among Democrats.  As the table below illustrates, the Lieutenant Governor has maintained that lead in all publicly available polling conducted in this race.

 

Poll Results in CA-10 Among Democrats

 

Candidate

Tulchin Research*

Survey USA

(8/10-8/11)

Survey USA

(8/26-8/27)

John Garamendi

32%

35%

37%

Mark DeSaulnier

21%

25%

23%

Joan Buchanan

18%

17%

18%

Anthony Woods

8%

8%

13%

Undecided

17%

6%

2%

* Internal poling released by Garamendi campaign. No other polls have been released by candidates or third parties since Garamendi entered the race.

 

Beyond Democrats, Garamendi’s lead holds among all demographic groups, including Obama voters, men, women, all age groups, all races, all levels of educational achievement, and all income levels.

 

Most importantly, Garamendi is effectively converting the support identified in the Survey USA and other polls into actual votes cast. As the Survey USA poll indicates, Garamendi leads among those who have already voted with 27 percent of the vote to 18 percent for DeSaulnier, 13 percent for Buchanan, and 10 percent for Woods. Additionally, Garamendi leads among those who have not yet voted.

 

Garamendi said, “We like where we stand in the polls, but we take nothing for granted. Our dedicated team of volunteers will fight for every vote until the polls close on Election Day.”

 

Garamendi has been endorsed by the Contra Costa Times, San Francisco Chronicle, Tri-Valley Herald, Livermore Independent, and San Francisco Bay Guardian.

 

He has also been endorsed by the Sierra Club, California Nurses Association, California Teachers Association, California Federation of Teachers, California Labor Federation, and Alameda, Napa-Solano, and Sacramento Central Labor Councils.

 

800 registered voters were interviewed in the poll, and 555 voters interviewed by SurveyUSA between August 26, 2009 and August 27, 2009 were deemed to be likely to vote in the September 1, 2009 primary or to have already cast a ballot. The poll had a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percent.

 

For more information, please visit http://www.garamendi.org.

 

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
August 29, 2009

Contact: Josh Franco, 916-863-6881, jfranco@garamendi.org

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