FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
May 4, 2009
Lieutenant Governor John Garamendi Holds Commanding Favorability and Likely Vote Advantage In Hypothetical 10th Congressional District Matchup Garamendi Holds 11 Point Lead Over Nearest Democratic Competitor
WALNUT CREEK – Lieutenant Governor John Garamendi, California’s first elected State Insurance Commissioner and a Deputy Secretary at the Department of Interior during the Clinton Administration, would hold a commanding favorability and vote advantage over potential competitors in a special election in the 10th congressional district if current Representative Ellen Tauscher is confirmed as Under Secretary of State, according to a poll released today.
The survey conducted by J. Moore Methods, Inc, a public opinion Research firm found that California Lieutenant Governor John Garamendi has a significant advantage in both name ID and favorability ratings.
Garamendi’s name ID is 80% compared to 39% for Democratic State Senator Mark DeSaulnier, 45% for Democratic State Assemblywoman Joan Buchanan, and 20% for Republican County Sheriff Warren Rupf.
Garamendi’s favorability rating is 35% favorable and 12% unfavorable; Mark DeSaulnier’s ratings are 16-13: Joan Buchanan’s is 17-12 and Republican Warren Rupf is 9%favorable and 9% unfavorable.
The survey found in the initial “horserace” vote for Congress, that Garamendi has a substantial 11% lead over his nearest challenger.
- Democrat John Garamendi - 24%
- Democrat Mark DeSaulnier - 13%
- Democrat Joan Buchanan - 10%
- Republican Warren Rupf - 17%
- No Opinion - 36%
The poll was conducted between May 1st and May 4th by Jim Moore and JMM Research. Interviews were conducted with a 400-person sample from the 10th congressional district. Turnout was projected at 30 percent, and likely turnout was projected to be 55 percent Democratic, 33 percent Republican, and 12 percent independent.
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